‘Had to ask how many balls we had’: Is meltdown coming at Trump Doral?

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Jordan Spieth (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images)

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Jordan Spieth? On Friday, he talked numbers.

“That was one of the harder holes I’ve played on the PGA Tour today.”

Justin Rose? On Tuesday, he also talked numbers.

“I had to ask my caddie how many balls we had left.”

And Jhonattan Vegas on Tuesday? You know where this is going.

“You can make a massive number on that hole.”

And players have. Bogeys. Double bogeys. And beyond. Spieth, Rose and Vegas were commenting on Trump National Doral’s 18th hole, and they’d likely receive concurrence from the field at the Cadillac Championship, this week’s PGA Tour stop. The 486-yard par-4 has been a bruiser, though that’s certainly welcome news for those who like their golf being undetermined until the final stroke. A meltdown may very well be coming.

How difficult has the finisher been? Through three rounds, it’s played to exactly a half-shot over par, which makes it Doral’s toughest hole in terms of scoring average. That was also the rank last year, when the 18th played .574 strokes over par during a LIV Golf event; and that was also the mark 10 years ago — the last time Doral hosted a PGA Tour tournament — when it played .425 strokes over par. As it stands after Saturday, Doral’s 18th would also rank as the hardest closing hole on the PGA Tour this year. (The complete list is at the bottom of this article.)

Birdies aren’t impossible. Nine have been made this week, including one by Scottie Scheffler that moved him into a tie for second entering Sunday. But tunnel vision is needed. Water streams along the hole’s entire left side, palm trees sway on most of the right. and claustrophobia kicks in most on the tee box — balls that travel up to about 300 yards are squeezed into about a 25-yard-wide landing area, which, of course, can look like just a few blades of grass from three football fields away. (Bigger hitters, though, are rewarded with more fairway, but that necessitates a 320-plus pop.) Wind also seems ever present, which means a player will potentially target either the lake or some branches. In short, there’s no real bail-out; a great shot is required. From there, the second shot is obviously dependent on the lie, though the water and wind remain, and Scheffler said the green has “a ton of pitch to it.”

Thoughts on the 18th this week have had a theme.

It’s hard, players have said.

Said Vegas ahead of the tournament: “At the end of the day, I guarantee that hole’s going to play way over par. At least in the, you know, 4.5 or something like that. So it’s a hole that you know if you make bogey, you’re not going to kill yourself. Obviously you can make a massive number on that hole. So you have to attack that hole very conservatively. You just can’t let that hole beat you, or be your week. So you have to attack that probably very conservative and try to execute the best four shots that you can on that hole.”

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