If your belief in time travel still needed convincing, Great Scott I hope the Doc calling a Bubba Watson/Kevin Na one-two last week has opened your eyes to his powers. He takes on the Honda this week… 88 miles per hour please!
Defending champion Rickie Fowler is 8/1 across the majority of the betting companies which is ridiculously short in my opinion, and that’s I always tip each-way. If I had a take a head on tackle from a prop forward to back someone on the nose pre-tournament, I’d pick Justin Thomas at 12/1 who has a best of T3 in 2016 and impressed me last week.
TOP-5 BEST BETS
Sergio Garcia 18/1
I’m not privy to Sergio’s mental focus for the game at the moment, but with his wife due to give birth in March this tip will depend very much on that. On paper though a tough shot-makers par-70 in perennially windy Florida should suit the Spaniard down to the ground. Sergio has played in the last four Hondas with three top-20’s and a best of solo second in 2016 behind Adam Scott. Winner in Singapore last month and T32 in Dubai where he ranked second in the field in fairways hit.
Scott Stallings 66/1
Would you believe Scott Stallings was on my shortlist last week? We also had Bubba, a winner at 50/1 and Kevin Na long odds glory at 100/1, but I had to cut him from my final five in favour of Phil. Thus, I’ll have to give him the nod this week after a T4 at Riviera and solo 7th at Pebble. Three 68’s from Friday to Sunday did the trick last week in a performance where Stallings impressed across all the major stats. For me that’s big (I’m a stats freak) and I think Scott knows a big win is coming and that this week might be his best chance for a while.
Gary Woodland 28/1
A missed 54-hole cut at Pebble last time out wasn’t a disaster for Gary Woodland coming on the back of a great run of T7 at The Sony, T12 at The Farmers and a super win in Phoenix. Rickie won by a mile last year but Woodland was in the group tied for second and I think he’s on form to contend again this time around.
Graeme McDowell 66/1
My read of what happened last week at Riviera was some vintage Gmac getting himself into position to win after 54 holes but possibly wanted it too much and tried to force the issue and lacked that bit of belief on Sunday. That 77 dropped him into a T26 finish but the Portrush man can take away some big positives, especially crossing back east to his adopted Florida where he has four top-10’s from nine starts at Palm Beach Gardens. 66/1 are great each way odds or 5/1 to finish in the top-10. Believe Gmac!
Brian Harman 40/1
Oh my goodness the last pick was literally a toss-up between Tommy Fleetwood and Brian Harman. Tommy again is a debutant here and should have the tees and greens game for it but I’m loving Brian Harman’s terrier spirit on the PGA Tour early season and wondered would he ever take a break! Well he has done and returns to try and avoid the pitfalls of The Bear Trap this week. No real form beyond a T11 here in 2015 but 4th on Tour in Greens Hit and 8th in Strokes Gained Putting say he’s a solid bet on a par-70.
Long Odds Glory Shots
Billy Horschel 100/1 is missing more cuts than a blunt scissors at the moment but he’s T4, T8 at this venue for the last two seasons and seems to play his best here. Sean O’Hair 150/1 has made plenty of pocket of money here too with four top-25’s in his last five visits.
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