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Doc’s top-5 best bets: WGC-Mexico

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2020 WGC – Mexico Championship Betting Preview and Tips
February 20th – 23rd, 2020
Club de Golf Chapultepec, Mexico City, Mexico
Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,355
Purse: $10.5 million with $1,787,560 to the winner
Defending Champion: Dustin Johnson

Rors, DJ, Rahm and Thomas are all inside the 10/1 odds barrier pre-tournament this week as the winners and contenders over the three Mexico stagings have been favourites. I still think, given the par 71 and a winning score of 21 under in 2019, this is a wide open putting competition.

Doc’s 5 Best Each Way Bets

Sergio Garcia 40/1

Came off the Middle East swing with T8 and T6 from three starts and despite a T37 at Riviera, there were positives. Will find the greens and whole enclosed feel of Chapultepec much more to his liking this week. Never worse than T17 in three visits and T6 here last year, if he has his putting shoes on, Sergio WILL pay out.

Louis Oosthuizen 40/1

Louis loves a WGC cheque (he has banked many) and skipping The Genesis tells me he’s taking this seriously. Has no real course form but seemed to be going well in 2019 before a 73 Sunday knocked him to a T25 finish. BUT comes in this year off three top-5 finishes in his last four starts and I for one will be looking at Louis this week with The Masters in mind.

Brandt Snedeker 66/1

Missed cuts at Pebble and Phoenix see Sneds slip down the odds to 66/1 this week. But surely if there was a course to suit him, this is it. Par 71 and a putter’s paradise. This is only his second visit to Mexico City, he finished T7 in 2017, and after a week off I think Snedeker has a chance at a good place finish.

Paul Casey 40/1

Paul’s last two starts were messy affairs and I’m a bit surprised the bookies are offering only 40/1 on him this week. But they are no mugs and have access to the stats which saw Casey 1st in fairways and 5th in greens here in 2019 and similarly impressive in 2018.  He’s a horse for the course  with T3 and T12 finishes and not to be ignored.

Victor Perez 80/1

Would’ve given my fifth pick to Tyrrell Hatton because he loves this place but he’s just coming back from wrist surgery so instead debutant Victor Perez is deserving of the nod at 80/1. This guy is the real deal on the European Tour and I think he’ll play a big part in the Ryder Cup later this year. Comes to Mexico with six top-20 finishes in his last seven starts and a T2 in Abu Dhabi a month ago. T4 on his WGC debut at the HSBC Champions.

Long Odds Glory Shots

Cameron Smith 100/1: Awful form since winning the Sony. Putted super in a T6 last year.

Christian Bezuidenhout 100/1: Winner last week at home in South Africa.

Kurt Kitayama 100/1: Goes into meltdown mode on Sundays but he’s going to figure it out soon.

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